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重壓之下 壹二線城市降溫 三線城市異軍突起

2017/05/19 11:10 来源: 搜狐焦点网 评论
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最新數據顯示,4月份15個壹二線城市房價同比漲幅全部回落,而三線城市房價同比漲幅則較3月進壹步擴大。

樓市熱度正從壹二線城市轉向三四線城市。  

最新數據顯示,4月份15個壹二線城市房價同比漲幅全部回落,而三線城市房價同比漲幅則較3月進壹步擴大。  

盡管步入4、5月份,各地樓市調整政策仍在陸續推出,但分析人士指出,政策“洪峰”並未過去,調控正走向深化,未來幾個月市場成交將承受較大壓力,房價增速有望延續4月出現的分化走勢。  

壹二線城市房價降溫  

國家統計局18日公布的全國70個大中城市房價數據顯示,4月份15個壹線和熱點二線城市新房價格同比漲幅全部回落,9個城市環比下降或持平。其中,上海、南京、福州、合肥等城市新房環比出現負增長。  

“4月因地制宜、因城施策的房地産調控政策繼續發揮作用。”國家統計局城市司高級統計師劉建偉分析說。  

在前期已有40多個城市收緊樓市調控的基礎上,步入4、5月份,各地還在陸續出台調控政策。僅4月當月,就有超過50個城市發布了70余次調控政策,其中北京、重慶等熱點城市均發布了多次。  

從統計局數據來看,調控效果在4月份已開始顯現:壹線城市新房價格同比漲幅連續7個月回落,4月份比3月份回落2.8個百分點;二線城市新房價格同比漲幅連續5個月回落,4月份比3月份回落1.0個百分點。  

以本輪調控最爲嚴厲的北京爲例,調控效果體現得更爲明顯。4月份,北京新房價格同比漲幅從3月的20.6%縮窄至17.4%,環比從0.4%降至0.2%;二手房價格環比漲幅從3月的2.2%降至持平。  

不過,在壹二線城市房價降溫的同時,三四線城市房價卻呈現上漲勢頭。統計數據顯示,4月份,三線城市新房價格同比漲幅比3月份擴大0.4個百分點。  

在全國70個大中城市中,4月份新房環比漲幅前10位的分別爲唐山、蚌埠、宜昌、北海、沈陽、揚州、金華、昆明、西安和韶關。這其中多數都是三四線城市。  

交行金融研究中心高級研究員夏丹在接受上證報記者采訪時表示,4月房價環比數據顯示出壹二線“低頭”、三線繼續向上的態勢,這是差異化調控和精准化打擊的結果。  

中原地産市場分析師張大偉則表示,從市場走勢看,壹二線漲幅回落已經出現,預計很快在二三季度會出現環比下行的表現,三四線城市依然會在投資需求推動下,有輕微上漲的表現。整體市場的熱度從過去的壹二線轉移到三四線。  

調控正走向深化  

盡管各地樓市調控政策仍在頻出,但在夏丹看來,政策“洪峰”並未過去,調控正走向深化,未來幾個月市場成交將承受較大壓力,房價增速有望延續4月出現的分化走勢。  

夏丹表示,近期壹線城市主要銀行紛紛上調首套房貸利率至基准水平,未來或有更多城市加入上調首套、二套房貸利率的隊伍之中。此外,政策正引導商業銀行信貸資金流向,銀行按揭資源或向部分表現較好的三四線城市傾斜,這將有利于其成交在年內保持相對穩增態勢。  

“後續政策將繼續擴圍,調控城市數量也將繼續增加,整體市場的調控目標是明顯的托底蓋帽,約束房價上漲過快區域,去庫存城市政策平穩。”張大偉分析說。  

研究院智庫中心研究總監嚴躍進也預計,隨著政策效應的繼續釋放,預計5、6月份全國房價增幅將會繼續收窄。部分三線城市房價增幅明顯大于壹二線城市,後續三線城市或需要繼續強化政策管控的力度。(來源:上海證券報)

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责任编辑:陈建波  JN1788
【延伸阅读】
全國新房價格同比漲幅繼續回落 熱點城市調控加強
50大城市今年賣地收入逾7600億 同比上漲53.3%
“去庫存”政策生變:部分城市取消“購房補貼”
56城2月新房價格環比上漲 一線城廣州漲幅最大
壹季度珠海CPI漲1.9% 居住類價格同比上漲3.8%

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